Jonnie Goodboy
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« on: January 02, 2012, 07:11:17 pm » |
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Eckert had worked professionally and at a managerial or similar level in Insurance and Assurance. She would be familiar with the terminology, "An act of God" and as a Christian girl, it's inappropriateness perhaps when describing events such as suspension bridges collapsing or planes falling out of the skies for reasons of 'Gross Human Negligence'.
This in no way mitigates the extreme unlikelihood of a new plane, with turbo props, fully operational 'de-icing boots', and what other pilots (even of the same model of aircraft) described as only marginally icy conditions in that area, at the same time, succumbing to what I estimate statistically is probably a 1 in tens of Millions against odds accident.
Start out from the official figures from the more accident prone last decade of the previous century, on which airlines officially based the 1 in 2 million against odds of any one civilian dying in a civilian air accident. Try ot estimate the odds of a husband and spouse both dying in air-related incidents, whilst factoring in the figure of 3000 dead at the WTC complex.
Unfortunately I bummed out of statistics, at school, wanted nothing to do with the subject, preferring calculus and so forth. So I have no basis on which to start a calculation. But my intuitive guesstimate always led me to believe it must be in the high order Millions against.
Statistics IS another field that GOVERNMENT are particularly insistent on, that their agencies work towards gathering; therefore forming a basis for future policy decisions based on performance etc., a particular case in mind of this being of the British NHS or National Health Service; as so I was told by an ex-NHS worker recently enough.
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« Last Edit: January 02, 2012, 07:14:13 pm by Jonnie Goodboy »
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"When the righteous become many, the people rejoice; but when anyone wicked bears rule, the people sigh". — Prov 29:2
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